CONVECTIVE FORECAST
VALID 06Z THU 25/11 - 06Z FRI 26/11 2004
ISSUED: 24/11 17:39Z
FORECASTER: GATZEN

General thunderstorms are forecast across Western and central Great Britain

General thunderstorms are forecast across southern Black Sea region and eastern Mediterranean

SYNOPSIS

Upper ridge is present over SW-rn Europe, while amplified upper trough will move eastward over eastern Europe. Upper westerly jet remains over north-central Europe. At lower levels ... cold airmass dominates eastern Europe and showers and thunderstorms are forecast over the warm water surface of the Black Sea and eastern Mediterranean ... Maritime airmass is advected northward over extremely western Europe ... and may destabilize in the range of propagating upper short-wave troughs over NW-rn Europe. Some showers and thunderstorms may form. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.

DISCUSSION

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